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RDP 2017-01: Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve's Approach
Equation
e
¯
¯
=
(
20
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N
)
−
1
∑
t
=
1996
2015
∑
j
=
1
N
e
t
,
j
MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaWaa0qaaeaacaWGLbaaaiabg2da9maabmaabaGaaGOmaiaaicdacqGHxiIkcaWGobaacaGLOaGaayzkaaWaaWbaaSqabeaacqGHsislcaaIXaaaaOWaaabCaeaadaaeWbqaaiaadwgadaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaiaacYcacaWGQbaabeaaaeaacaWGQbGaeyypa0JaaGymaaqaaiaad6eaa0GaeyyeIuoaaSqaaiaadshacqGH9aqpcaaIXaGaaGyoaiaaiMdacaaI2aaabaGaaGOmaiaaicdacaaIXaGaaGynaaqdcqGHris5aaaa@5230@