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Bulletin – March 2018
Equation (A1)
w
t
=
α
+
β
1
u
t
−
1
−
u
t
−
1
*
u
t
−
1
+
β
2
π
t
−
1
e
+
β
3
π
t
−
1
+
β
4
Δ
u
t
−
1
+
β
5
Δ
z
t
−
1
+
β
6
w
t
−
1
+
ε
t
MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=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@7819@