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Bulletin – September 2016
Equation (A1)
Δ
e
x
p
o
r
t
s
t
=
β
0
+
β
1
e
x
p
o
r
t
s
t
−
1
+
β
2
T
W
I
t
−
1
+
β
3
d
e
m
a
n
d
t
−
1
+
ϕ
1
Δ
T
W
I
t
+
ϕ
2
Δ
d
e
m
a
n
d
t
+
γ
D
u
m
m
y
.
MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=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@811F@