Bulletin – June 2016 Equation (A1)

π t r = α 0 + α 1 π t−1 e + ∑ i=1 5 α 2,i Δul c t−i + ∑ j=1 8 α 3,j Δm p t−j + μ t MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=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@6C97@